Thursday, February 23, 2017

Proof that Raila Odinga's NASA Coalition will Win August 2017 Presidential Election

Opposition leaders Kalonzo Musyoka (Wiper), Musalia Mudavadi (Amani), Raila Odinga (Cord/ODM) and Moses Wetang'ula (Ford Kenya) after the signing of Nasa's agreement at Okoa Kenya offices in Nairobi, February 22, 2017. Photo: Google Images

Well, voter registration is over and it has emerged that the winners of the exercise is the NASA/CORD coalition after registering record high new voters than their Jubilee counterparts.

Registered voters per province:

Rift valley. -3757776
Central. -2398815
Eastern. -2363156
Nyanza. - 2226671
Nairobi. - 1868551
Western. -1616518
Coast. -1198216
North Eastern- 376818..





Assuming that come august we will have a 100% voter turnout, I have calculated the voting patterns for the 2 coalitions, and below is my voting predictions…

CENTRAL: jubilee 98%(2350839). NASA 2%(47976)

RIFT VALLEY: jubilee 85%(3194110), NASA 15%(563666)

NYANZA: jubilee3%(66800), NASA 97%(2159871)

EASTERN: jubilee10%(236316),NASA 90%(2126840)

WESTERN: jubilee 2%(32330), NASA 98%(1584188)

COAST: jubilee 4%(47929), NASA 96%(1150287)

NORTH EASTERN: jubilee 40%(150727), NASA 60%(226091)

NAIROBI: jubilee 46%(859533),NASA 54%(1009018)

Total votes for
JUBILEE=6938584 – 47%

NASA =7717650 – 53%


My sampling error is ±4%


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