Well, voter
registration is over and it has emerged that the winners of the exercise is the
NASA/CORD coalition after registering record high new voters than their Jubilee
counterparts.
Registered
voters per province:
Rift valley. -3757776
Central. -2398815
Eastern. -2363156
Nyanza. - 2226671
Nairobi. - 1868551
Western. -1616518
Coast. -1198216
North Eastern- 376818..
Central. -2398815
Eastern. -2363156
Nyanza. - 2226671
Nairobi. - 1868551
Western. -1616518
Coast. -1198216
North Eastern- 376818..
Assuming that come
august we will have a 100% voter turnout, I have calculated the voting patterns
for the 2 coalitions, and below is my voting predictions…
CENTRAL: jubilee 98%(2350839). NASA 2%(47976)
RIFT VALLEY: jubilee
85%(3194110), NASA 15%(563666)
NYANZA: jubilee3%(66800),
NASA 97%(2159871)
EASTERN: jubilee10%(236316),NASA
90%(2126840)
WESTERN: jubilee
2%(32330), NASA 98%(1584188)
COAST: jubilee
4%(47929), NASA 96%(1150287)
NORTH EASTERN: jubilee
40%(150727), NASA 60%(226091)
NAIROBI: jubilee
46%(859533),NASA 54%(1009018)
Total votes for
JUBILEE=6938584 – 47%
NASA =7717650 – 53%
My sampling error is
±4%
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